Daily Decisions
Day 1 of 14·0 points
Reviewer demonstration. This fixed Day 1 view uses a demo participant and illustrative content.
Decision 1 of 4·Health
The back surgery
You have had back pain for two years that limits walking and sleep. A surgeon offers a procedure. For people in your situation, the procedure gives substantial relief 64% of the time, partial relief 30% of the time, and leads to a serious complication 6% of the time. Physical therapy three times a week for six months gives substantial relief 45% of the time and carries no serious risk. Doing nothing gives substantial improvement 20% of the time.
Decision Assistant recommends
Option A: Have the surgery
90% confidence
Surgery gives substantial relief 64% of the time with a 6% complication rate, which yields a higher expected outcome than therapy at 45% or waiting at 20%. Surgery is the best choice.